Analysis

Understanding Emissions Avoided: The Key Metric for Green Bonds

Essential knowledge for investment professionals navigating sustainable fixed income markets

Mar 20, 2025 @ London

Emissions avoided is the fundamental metric for quantifying the environmental impact of green bonds, yet it's often misunderstood. This guide explains what it is, how it's calculated, and why it matters for your reporting.

If you're exploring green bonds or sustainable investments, you've likely encountered the term "emissions avoided." This crucial metric is fundamental to understanding the actual environmental impact of your investments, yet it's often misunderstood or confused with other carbon metrics.

What Is Emissions Avoided?

Emissions avoided is the amount of greenhouse gas emissions that would have been released under a business-as-usual scenario but didn't happen because of a green investment.

Think of it this way:

  • When you invest in a solar farm, you're not just building clean energy capacity
  • You're also preventing emissions that would have occurred if that same electricity had been generated from fossil fuels
  • Those prevented emissions are your "emissions avoided"

It's essentially the difference between what would have happened without your investment and what actually happened with it.

How Is Emissions Avoided Different from Carbon Footprinting?

Don't confuse emissions avoided with carbon footprints (Scopes 1, 2, and 3):

Carbon Footprint (Scopes 1, 2, 3) Emissions Avoided
Measures emissions produced Measures emissions prevented
Focuses on negative impact Focuses on positive impact
Shows your current impact Shows your contribution to solutions
Backward-looking Forward-looking

Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions tell you about the carbon produced in your operations and value chain. Emissions avoided tells you about the positive change your investments create in the world.

Why Is Emissions Avoided the Key Metric for Green Bonds?

Most green bonds report emissions avoided because:

  1. It directly quantifies environmental benefit - the actual climate impact of your investment
  2. It helps investors understand what they're achieving with their money
  3. It allows for impact comparison between different green investments
  4. It's forward-looking, focusing on solutions rather than just problems

How Are Emissions Avoided Calculated?

The basic formula is simple, though the details can get technical:

Emissions Avoided = Baseline Emissions - Project Emissions

Breaking this down:

1. Baseline emissions: What would have happened without the green investment

  • For renewable energy: Emissions from the existing electricity grid
  • For green buildings: Emissions from standard building energy use
  • For electric vehicles: Emissions from conventional vehicles

2. Project emissions: The actual emissions from the green investment

  • Often much lower or even zero for many green projects
  • May include some operational emissions

3. The difference: This is your emissions avoided

The Importance of Baselines

The baseline is critical - it's the reference point for measuring improvement. Different projects in different regions will have different baselines:

  • A solar project in a coal-dependent country avoids more emissions than the same project in a country already using clean energy
  • Energy efficiency in a cold climate may avoid more emissions than in a temperate one
  • Electric vehicles in areas with clean electricity grids avoid more emissions than in high-carbon grid regions

This is why knowing the location and specific context of green bond projects matters so much for accurate emissions avoided calculations.

Why Emissions Avoided Matters for Your Reporting

If you're investing in green bonds or need to report on sustainability:

  1. Emissions avoided gives you a clear, quantifiable metric of positive impact
  2. It allows meaningful comparison between different green investments
  3. It helps satisfy growing demands from regulators, clients, and stakeholders for impact transparency
  4. It connects financial decisions to real-world environmental outcomes

In an increasingly climate-conscious financial landscape, understanding and reporting emissions avoided has moved from a nice-to-have to an essential part of investment analysis and reporting.

Key Takeaways

  • Emissions avoided measures what didn't happen (but would have) because of your green investment
  • It's different from and complementary to carbon footprinting
  • It's calculated as the difference between baseline emissions and project emissions
  • Location and context matter significantly for accurate calculations
  • It's the standard metric for understanding and comparing the impact of green bonds

Whether you're new to sustainable investing or looking to enhance your existing reporting, emissions avoided data provides the clarity needed to understand the real environmental benefits of your investment decisions.

ClimateAligned's technology standardizes emissions avoided data across green bonds, providing the comparable metrics investors need to make informed sustainable investment decisions.

Start here to get access to high-quality, customisable sustainability data in the financial markets.